Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Under 53%
$10.8K
$5.4K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 24 top traders (63%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Underavg 58.2¢ | $3.1K | $5.2K | +$2.2K | 42% 8009-11197 (19206) |
 VeryLucky888 | Underavg 56.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.7K | +$733.75 | 58% 46718-33677 (80395) |
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 56¢ | $699.96 | $1.2K | +$549.19 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
SE sentrio | Underavg 56.5¢ | $620.42 | $1.1K | +$464.12 | 50% 25837-25546 (51383) |
GC GC-P | Underavg 57¢ | $539.38 | $946.28 | +$406.9 | 64% 9970-5599 (15569) |
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Underavg 55¢ | $175.75 | $319.54 | +$143.79 | 48% 347-378 (725) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 45.2¢ | $43.76 | $96.75 | +$52.99 | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
 RN1<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $67.85 | $96.13 | +$28.28 | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 49.2¢ | $12.31 | $25 | +$12.69 | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 43.2¢ | $9.72 | $22.5 | +$12.78 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 25.6¢ | $87.9 | $7.83 | -$80.07 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 30.4¢ | $429.1 | $5.33 | -$49.2 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 10¢ | $4.3K | — | +$3.2K | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
 0xheavy888 | Underavg 57¢ | $114 | — | +$86 | 56% 7922-6326 (14248) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Overavg 26.7¢ | $245.32 | — | -$245.32 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
IA ianf2026CTR | Overavg 43¢ | $5.2K | — | $-2.2K | 49% 104-109 (213) |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 45.2¢ | $204.61 | — | -$204.61 | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
RA rabbitfoot1 | Underavg 57.2¢ | $207.86 | — | +$155.33 | 54% 1222-1042 (2264) |
NM NM-P | Underavg 57¢ | $685.81 | — | +$517.91 | 64% 9929-5531 (15460) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 41.1¢ | $88 | — | -$9.91 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
 nigiri99CTR | Overavg 45¢ | $577.98 | — | -$577.98 | 46% 8595-10246 (18841) |
PV pvc975 | Underavg 99.9¢ | $1.7K | — | +$1.75 | 98% 17926-370 (18296) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 52% 8777-7982 (16759) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Underavg 57¢ | $342 | — | +$257.37 | 51% 1905-1854 (3759) |
Invested
$3,050.33
Value
$5.2K
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
42%
8009-11197 (19206)
VeryLucky888Invested
$1,109.87
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$733.75
Record
58%
46718-33677 (80395)
Invested
$699.96
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$549.19
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
Invested
$620.42
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$464.12
Record
50%
25837-25546 (51383)
Invested
$539.38
Value
$946.28
PnL
+$406.9
Record
64%
9970-5599 (15569)
Invested
$175.75
Value
$319.54
PnL
+$143.79
Record
48%
347-378 (725)
Invested
$43.76
Value
$96.75
PnL
+$52.99
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
RN1<$100Invested
$67.85
Value
$96.13
PnL
+$28.28
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$12.31
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.69
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$9.72
Value
$22.5
PnL
+$12.78
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
Invested
$87.9
Value
$7.83
PnL
-$80.07
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$429.1
Value
$5.33
PnL
-$49.2
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
Invested
$4,323.97
Value
—
PnL
+$3.2K
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
0xheavy888Invested
$114
Value
—
PnL
+$86
Record
56%
7922-6326 (14248)
Invested
$245.32
Value
—
PnL
-$245.32
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$5,205
Value
—
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
49%
104-109 (213)
Invested
$204.61
Value
—
PnL
-$204.61
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$207.86
Value
—
PnL
+$155.33
Record
54%
1222-1042 (2264)
Invested
$685.81
Value
—
PnL
+$517.91
Record
64%
9929-5531 (15460)
Invested
$88
Value
—
PnL
-$9.91
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
nigiri99CTRInvested
$577.98
Value
—
PnL
-$577.98
Record
46%
8595-10246 (18841)
Invested
$1,748.29
Value
—
PnL
+$1.75
Record
98%
17926-370 (18296)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
8777-7982 (16759)
Invested
$342
Value
—
PnL
+$257.37
Record
51%
1905-1854 (3759)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ferrariChampions2026
Under — $5.2K
VeryLucky888
Under — $1.7K
SnakeBall
Under — $1.2K
sentrio
Under — $1.1K
GC-P
Under — $946.28
Multicoloured-Serf
Under — $319.54
Venusian
Under — $96.75
RN1
Under — $96.13
LightParadox
Under — $25
MadridTime
Under — $22.5