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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$3.7M—$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #996PM monthly #97PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (269 of 382 open)no open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)56% (24 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllndb1RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Mika Brunold $5.4K——Borna Gojo $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.0K——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $2.4K——Olle Wallin $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $251——Yes $213
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $117——Over $14
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $23K——Alexandra Eala $156K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $24K——Anna Blinkova $29K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $14K—Under $31K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $21K——No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $8.4K——No $6.3K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K——Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K——No $5.4K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578—Under $6.4K—
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K——No $3.7K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $2.5K—Hull City AFC $2.9K—
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $2.1K
M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Ioannis Xilas
Ioannis Xilas $1.2K——Ioannis Xilas $1.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $441——No $432
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41