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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)32% (399–857, n=1256)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)50% (20646–20453, n=41099)
Consensus PnL$133K$3.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #380PM monthly #10PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus71% (20 of 28 open)73% (126 of 173 open)56% (23 of 41 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=19Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 18% of 143)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 77% of 35)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 94)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 352)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Over $3.2KUnder $840
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maccabi Petah Tikva FC
—Maccabi Petah Tikva FC $973Maccabi Tel Aviv FC $52—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $685—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35Under $620—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Exact Score: Madura United 2 - 0 Arema FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $87Yes $2—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82Justina Mikulskyte $3—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Sofya Lansere $3.4KSofya Lansere $39K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $15K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5KYes $6.6K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $5.7KRobin Montgomery $881—
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0KNo $2.9K—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.5KUnder $695—
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $2.1K—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KUnder $1.1K—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $87—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $717—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $916
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $1.0KMatej Dodig $608—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6