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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL—$370K$549K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #9PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (55 of 88 open)48% (25 of 52 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $219Texas $69K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $4.4K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $3.6KLSU $30
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $1.6K
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $728
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $736Under $1.0K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $525
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11KOver $17K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.8KTexas $16K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $13KOver $174
Spread: LSU (-6.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—LSU $6.3KLSU $278
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $3.3K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $3
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $603Utah $2.4K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $15Under $974
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10