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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (21–15, n=36)52% (560–514, n=1074)48% (641–685, n=1326)
Consensus PnL—$886K$410K$564K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #19PM monthly #9PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (51 of 79 open)46% (21 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—59% (won 100% of 13)31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $258Texas $381K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
——Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $843
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $4.7KLSU $23
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Flames $3.6KKings $7
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
——North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $676
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.2KIslanders $1.6K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $651Under $996
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $19K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9.4KOver $128
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KOver $4
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $627Utah $2.4K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $13Under $1.0K