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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (560–514, n=1074)48% (641–685, n=1326)84% (26–5, n=31)
Consensus PnL—$410K$564K$341K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #9PM monthly #18PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (51 of 79 open)46% (21 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)10% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)21% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)66% (won 95% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $258Texas $381K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $843—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $4.7KLSU $23—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $3.6KKings $7—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $676—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.2KIslanders $1.6K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $651Under $996—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $19K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4KOver $128—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $4—
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $627Utah $2.4K—
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13Under $1.0K—