Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1white-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)53% (410–359, n=769)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$14.9M$246K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)70% (23 of 33 open)55% (32 of 58 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)28% (won 5% of 167)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)17% (won 32% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)25% (won 86% of 153)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)30% (won 97% of 180)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1white-rabbit
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Buccaneers $26Bears $877—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12KBears $27KBears $25K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $23KClippers $554—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.6KOver $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295Buccaneers $2.4K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KUnder $1.2K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $58K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $13K—Bilibili Gaming $30K
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $34KDucks $1.5K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $33KOver $52—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $28KCeltics $1.4K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19KUnder $499—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.9KOver $163—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Kings $4.5KKings $2.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $2.2K—Bilibili Gaming $2.0K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $5—Bilibili Gaming $4.0K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $802——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—T1 $1.6K—T1 $44
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115Under $793—