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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026NM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)56% (8215–6351, n=14566)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M-$213K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #348PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)71% (30 of 42 open)56% (35 of 63 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%100% of 5269 at avg 72¢, ROI +29%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 100% of 274)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 100% of 930)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)18% (won 100% of 960)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)59% (won 100% of 3105)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026NM-Pprimm
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29KSeahawks $1.2KCardinals $5.7K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $27KTexans $833Texans $987
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $49KTexans $1.2K—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $9.8K—Under $1.3K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $1.5KCardinals $228Cardinals $6.1K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $61—Texans $1.2K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $41K49ers $1.1K49ers $85K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28KOver $177—
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0K—76ers $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $285—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $1.5K—Cardinals $230
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $76—Cardinals $1.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Over $267—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $12—
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $351Seahawks $218—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $76K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $20KPelicans $6—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $58Under $9.1K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2Over $4.5K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.7KUnder $166—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $1.2K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $148No $1.4K—
Spread: Texans (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $5Chargers $318—