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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 43% (54–71, n=125) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | -$46K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 61% (35 of 57 open) | 66% (117 of 176 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | Bucks $1.9K | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $676 | Trail Blazers $7 | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $126K | — | Nuggets $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $18K | — | Nuggets $16K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $89 | Thunder $3.6K | — |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | Buffalo $370 | Ball State $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $14 | Bucks $984 | — |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-35.5) opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | Houston Cougars $125 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $762 | — |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $189 | Under $366 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $38 | Bucks $493 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $49 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $188K | — | Spurs $11K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $29K | Lakers $13K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Under $40K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6.1K | Over $12K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $4.4K | Nets $11K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $20 | Magic $12K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | Over $7.2K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $945 | — | Nets $6.2K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Over $7.0K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $468 | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5) same side · consensus Abilene Christian Wildcats | — | Abilene Christian Wildcats $2 | Abilene Christian Wildcats $984 | — |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 157.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $21 | Under $689 | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $2 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Jackson State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles same side · consensus Jackson State Tigers | — | Jackson State Tigers $399 | Jackson State Tigers $7 | — |
| Valparaiso Beacons vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 142.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $18 | Under $30 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Under $12 | — |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 156.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Under $15 | — |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-34.5) same side · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $4 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3 | — |