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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)71% (282 of 400 open)56% (115 of 205 open)57% (89 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

112 on the same side, 89 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3KGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard $16KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.1KYes $486No $8.3K
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.2KYes $4No $626
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.6KYes $1No $505
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $723Max Hans Rehberg $87Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.5KYes $1.3KNo $56
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6KYes $915No $935
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $70No $2.2K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3KYes $2No $196
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KOver $206Under $154
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $607Under $18
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $682Yes $18Yes $91
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $559Over $7Under $32
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $352No $49Yes $37
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $149Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60Cadence Brace $4Jo-Yee Chan $36
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $4.1KNo $1.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $36Yes $11K
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
same side · consensus No
—No $43No $402No $28
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $6—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $66
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.4K—Over $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $2
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Over $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $164—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $108—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K—Lavinia Tanasie $5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $1.0K—
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Crvena zvezda
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $575FK Crvena zvezda $1.3K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $1.3K—Renata Zarazua $482
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: AC Milan O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $16—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $305
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $849—Over $725
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $271Over $1.1K—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $789—Yes $224
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $586Yes $358—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $340—No $585
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $296Under $580—
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus HNK Hajduk Split
—HNK Hajduk Split $547Lincoln Red Imps FC $251—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $48
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $653Yes $74—