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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlueszimmer888
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)100% (6–0, n=6)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$3.1M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #8PM monthly #758
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)63% (247 of 393 open)67% (80 of 119 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%75% of 4 at avg 2¢, ROI +86%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)100% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlueszimmer888
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $315No $26K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $5.2K—
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $2.0KLukas Pokorny $4—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420Under $762—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720Over $5—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347—
Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $337Yes $84—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $288—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $273—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111Yes $3—
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
—CD Tarancón $11Levante UD $86—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42Yes $36—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51Under $12—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $42—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24Under $4—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $114K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $21K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $16K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KUnder $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $2.6K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $1.2K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1KYes $161—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $931—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311Under $416—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $705Over $5—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14Yes $175—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21No $61—
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $27Under $5—