No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #683 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #683
Record (90 d)
12/12 · 100%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 4?Yes $10K · now 100¢ · in at 1¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 2¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where zimmer888's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.