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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpNewshoundRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)71% (701–282, n=983)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$64K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #881PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)63% (165 of 263 open)35% (9 of 26 open)62% (127 of 206 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)22% (won 24% of 221)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)13% (won 64% of 124)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)18% (won 76% of 174)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)47% (won 95% of 465)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpNewshoundRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29KPelicans $534—Pelicans $136
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17KPelicans $732—Pelicans $130
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343Pacers $284—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $283Jazz $20—Pelicans $154
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330KPacers $3.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0K—Over $462
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $6.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $194—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $1.6K—Hawks $655
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bulls $1.2K—Knicks $149
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $9
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—No $124
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $928—Over $134
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $977—Bulls $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $663—Over $13
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $308
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $350—Under $41
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $246—Pacers $138
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $271—Wizards $96
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $255
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $230—Under $5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9K—No $460
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $4.9K—76ers $240
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $526
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $873—Over $1.0K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944Pistons $649——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $382
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $1.0K—Knicks $356
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $1.2K—CA Mineiro $65
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $406—No $742
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $903—CA Mineiro $9
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $703—Under $197
Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $814—No $3
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $642—Under $140
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $429—Hawks $288
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $394—Raptors $278