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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJGripenRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)no settled market48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M—$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (37 of 42 open)66% (75 of 113 open)no open consensus position51% (32 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJGripenRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K76ers $1.6K—76ers $297
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K——Texans $8.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $4.0K—Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $979—Bulls $404
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Sabres $156—Golden Knights $971
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.1K—Bulls $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $287——76ers $421
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Shunsuke Mitsui $68—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $63—Richmond Spiders $217
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107—Under $116
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K——Packers $489
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K——Seahawks $3.9K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $4.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $4.7K—Coco Gauff $35K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $3.0K—Richmond Spiders $602
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $1.6K
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.8K—Bulls $23
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612—Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $381—No $267
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1