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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (3825–185, n=4010) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $4.1M | $3.3M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #855 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (30 of 32 open) | 68% (92 of 136 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (32 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Finance −2 pts, n=112 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 12% of 33) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 41) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 50) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 99% of 1245) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.2K | — | No $153 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $768 | — | Pistons $307 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $499 | — | Nets $144 |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $103 | — | Under $377 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $12K | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $55K | — | No $4.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | — | No $3.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $6.2K | — | Lakers $142 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $4.1K | — | Lakers $569 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $3.4K | — | Lakers $632 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $884 | — | Mavericks $228 |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $319 | — | Lakers $484 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $612 | — | Pistons $74 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |