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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (35–35, n=70) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.7K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (112 of 161 open) | 54% (31 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 40 at avg 46¢, ROI −14% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 6% of 16) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 20% of 5) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 63% of 8) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 82% of 11) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | — | AIK $3.5K | BK Hacken $465 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $2.3K | Elias Ymer $163 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Spread: PSV (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | — | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15 | PSV $113 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $57K | No $4.8K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $52K | No $7.3K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $5.9K | Toby Samuel $31K |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $27K | No $8.3K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $7.0K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $2.5K |
| Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3.7K | Under $518 |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | No $80 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2.3K | Yes $45 |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | No $73 |
| Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $49 |
| Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | No $113 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | Yes $83 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $24 | Yes $3 |