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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (35–35, n=70)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$4.7K$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)73% (68 of 93 open)53% (16 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won40% of 40 at avg 46¢, ROI −14%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 16)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 20% of 5)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 63% of 8)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 82% of 11)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
——Edward Winter $3Alafia Ayeni $109
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $29
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Sebastian Dominko
——Patrick Zahraj $2.1KPatrick Zahraj $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $26