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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$31K$387K$332K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #836PM monthly #13PM monthly #9was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (150 of 288 open)67% (91 of 136 open)90% (9 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZzzz87
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $719—Over $15K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.0K
China PR vs. Malaysia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $1.3K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $946—
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $214—Yes $612
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $173—Over $239
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $49—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $58Grizzlies $27—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $3—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $8.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $9.4K—Taylor Fritz $219
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $399Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $854—Yes $373
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $30Northwestern $911—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $153
Will Malaysia win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $25—Yes $2