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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorppapaebalRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)80% (120–30, n=150)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$18K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #16was PM monthly #979PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (166 of 252 open)no open consensus position61% (109 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 132 at avg 53¢, ROI +43%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 92% of 12)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)35% (won 93% of 46)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 90% of 50)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 96% of 24)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorppapaebalRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Under $202
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Over $84
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $375
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $93
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $678
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237—Wizards $98
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3—Over $149
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $10
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
—Marcos Giron $6.1K—Marcos Giron $17K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $5.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.3K—Under $1.2K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4K—Yes $4.5K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $2.6K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.1K—Bianca Andreescu $2.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $522—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $206—Juan Carlos Prado $2.3K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $724
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $776—76ers $240
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $931—Over $52
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720—Over $165
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $697—Over $132
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $144—Over $664
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
—No $428—No $352
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $383—Raptors $246
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $353—Over $102
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40—Under $371