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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyznigiri99
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market55% (370–304, n=674)
Consensus PnL$792K$395K$0$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (108 of 175 open)no open consensus position52% (54 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)—14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 4)21% (won 43% of 192)—24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 103)—43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)—18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyznigiri99
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Over $425
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $454—Yes $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $273
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $369
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $926—Yes $368
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $19—Trail Blazers $452
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $203—Thunder $9
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $105—Under $77
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $80—Over $11
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $11
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $2.2K—Clippers $15
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Over $70
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $14—Colorado $731
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $78—Predators $423
Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $455—Trail Blazers $13
Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo
same side · consensus Juncheng Shang
—Christian Langmo $185—Christian Langmo $37
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $9—Kings $101
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $23—Kings $27