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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crazyoddslover | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 33% (1–2, n=3) | 75% (697–230, n=927) | 67% (455–225, n=680) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $3.6K | $59K | -$137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #342 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (64 of 95 open) | 56% (15 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 4 at avg 64¢, ROI −56% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 75% (won 67% of 3) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 25% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crazyoddslover | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.1K | — | Trail Blazers $4.0K | Trail Blazers $178 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.4K | — | Thunder $45 | Trail Blazers $489 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $499K | — | Trail Blazers $36K | Trail Blazers $25K |
| M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han same side · consensus Xirui Han | Xirui Han $92K | Xirui Han $96K | Xirui Han $72 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | — | Trail Blazers $2.8K | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.8K | — | Trail Blazers $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $3.6K | Thunder $208 |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.7K | Thunder $6 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.5K | Thunder $9 |
| Spread: Thunder (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $1.3K | Thunder $3 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Thunder $231 | Trail Blazers $442 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $280 | Over $267 |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $514 | Thunder $1 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Thunder $69 | Trail Blazers $320 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $135 | Over $58 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $88 | Under $71 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $4.1K | Trail Blazers $15 |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.6K | Trail Blazers $631 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.1K | Trail Blazers $710 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $1.7K | Trail Blazers $6 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $1.3K | Trail Blazers $380 |
| Matsuyama: Fajing Sun vs Billy Harris same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | — | Billy Harris $519 | Billy Harris $469 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus Vitality | Team Falcons $812 | — | Team Falcons $5 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $738 | Trail Blazers $10 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Trail Blazers $307 | Trail Blazers $1 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $32 | Under $46 |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Thunder $4 | Thunder $7 |