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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)69% (204–92, n=296)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$14.8M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #188
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)62% (213 of 346 open)64% (105 of 165 open)74% (28 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 330 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)9% (won 66% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)68% (won 91% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $3.3KRinky Hijikata $16KNovak Djokovic $30K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KDaniil Medvedev $5.5KDaniil Medvedev $36K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $9.5KNo $4.3K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $40Under $238—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $14—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $500Yes $888—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $677—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237Hawks $408—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $557Carole Monnet $2—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357—Under $157—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $217No $62—
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $227Marie Weckerle $32—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26No $15—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $31KNo $4.4K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21KYes $12K—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $20KOlympiakós SFP $109—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.4KUnder $7.5K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $390—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.3KUnder $5.2K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.2KOver $7.9K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12KYes $101—
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $3.3KMatej Dodig $9.0K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.3KUnder $2.3K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.6KUnder $1.5K—
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
—Weronika Falkowska $129Weronika Falkowska $8.0K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KUnder $6.1K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $3.0K—
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini
—Luisina Giovannini $2.2KLuisina Giovannini $1.8K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $622—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Robert Guna
—Tomas Curras Abasolo $341Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $1.2KOlympiakós SFP $104—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $77676ers $240—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $695Yes $231—
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
—Yasmine Kabbaj $903Yasmine Kabbaj $9—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $768No $31—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505Over $158—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Ignacio Parisca $298Ignacio Parisca $296—
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $576No $3—