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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Sagand
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)85% (44–8, n=52)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$14.8M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #133PM monthly #22PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)65% (184 of 282 open)61% (132 of 215 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)21% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)58% (won 90% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Sagand
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $486Eastern Michigan $343Central Michigan $11K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.9KRaptors $394Raptors $278—
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3KNo $1.7KNo $1.5K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $1.3KUnder $382—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.8KOver $462—
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.1KBulls $135——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $46Hornets $2.3K——
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4KYes $9—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365—Under $889—
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1KNo $124—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $933Over $153—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $977Bulls $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $689Over $159—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304Thunder $308—
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $575Bulls $11—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $475Over $44—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $300Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $208Pacers $190—
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $350Under $41—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27Kings $253—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $217Under $11—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123Over $86—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $20Pelicans $154—
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Nets $64Hornets $35—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $104KThunder $2.4K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49K——Yes $4.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $1.7KJuan Carlos Prado $15K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $11K—Central Michigan $476—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $219Sacramento State $6.6K—
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9KNo $498—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $4.9K76ers $240—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $4Pacers $4.4K——
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5KNo $533—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $2.3KPacers $141——
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $1.2KHawks $950—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $873Over $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $667Under $736—
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $1.3KCA Mineiro $65—
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $1.0KKnicks $356—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—