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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 47% (267–299, n=566) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$6.7K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 70% (237 of 338 open) | 66% (43 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | No $2.6K | No $4.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.4K | — | Under $49 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.5K | Yes $119 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | — | Whitney Osuigwe $1.8K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | — | Daniel Milavsky $565 | Max Hans Rehberg $834 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | — | Greet Minnen $679 | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | — | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | — | — | Cadence Brace $59 | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich | — | — | Murkel Dellien $43 | Juan Pablo Ficovich $37 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $41 | Yes $3 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | Yes $131 | — | — |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $25K | — | No $4.6K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $16K | Yes $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $17K | Under $139 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.3K | Under $8.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse same side · consensus Nuno Borges | — | — | Nuno Borges $6.0K | Nuno Borges $8.6K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.6K | Yes $10K |
| Spread: NEC (-1.5) same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías | — | — | AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K | AS Omónoia Leukosías $3 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $8.5K | Under $128 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.0K | Under $2.4K |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs same side · consensus GenOne | — | — | GenOne $2 | GenOne $5.0K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | — | Juan Bautista Torres $349 | Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $106 | — | No $921 | — |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $730 | Under $49 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $33 | Over $675 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | Yes $192 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $129 | No $141 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $30 | Under $2 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $14 | Under $3 |