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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677madmartigan5primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)no settled market50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #8was PM monthly #954PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (8 of 20 open)59% (23 of 39 open)54% (79 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 50 at avg 38¢, ROI +52%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)30% (won 80% of 15)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)44% (won 86% of 22)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 100% of 12)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677madmartigan5primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $41K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $285Rams $14K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $13K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $7.7K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.5K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $6.9K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $4.7K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $3.9K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.1K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.6K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $641
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $240
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $657
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14