No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #900 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #900
Record (90 d)
12/13 · 92%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
50 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 38¢- Soccer
+60 pts
side won 94% of 17 · avg entry 34¢
ROI +68%
- Other Sports
+46 pts
side won 81% of 16 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +32%
- Elections
+46 pts
side won 92% of 13 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 30%(won 80% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 44%(won 86% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 100% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.