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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MaoZeDonK | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 46% (387–447, n=834) | 59% (17–12, n=29) | 54% (312–261, n=573) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $509K | $35K | $425K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #798 | PM monthly #135 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 52% (27 of 52 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 51% (55 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 14 at avg 54¢, ROI +54% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 0% | 14% (won 32% of 72) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 55% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 71% (won 100% of 10) | 44% (won 69% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MaoZeDonK | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Pacers $20K | — | Knicks $486 |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bulls $13K | — | Hawks $3.0K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $7.6K | — | Grizzlies $5.4K |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | — | Over $674 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Greece | — | Greece $9.1K | — | Netherlands $17 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $367 | — | Under $4.9K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $3.4K | — | Grizzlies $946 |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $597 |
| Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $482 |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $1.2K | — | Houston $81 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Knicks $397 | — | Pacers $21 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10K | No $4.7K |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $403 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11K | — | Over $151 |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Canucks $11K | — | Canucks $508 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.6K | — | Over $226 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.8K | — | Over $308 |
| Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | — | Over $28 |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | — | Over $520 |
| Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $58 |