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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1pIebe
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)71% (762–310, n=1072)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #187 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (28 of 42 open)71% (112 of 158 open)72% (72 of 100 open)79% (130 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)22% (won 6% of 204)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 47% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)6% (won 52% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)67% (won 96% of 629)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1pIebe
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $870——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $28KOver $390——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $280——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $8.8K76ers $1.0K——
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $208—Yes $7.9K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $145Over $8.0K——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $201—Yes $1.8K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $67KLinda Noskova $12K——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $995—Yes $59K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $54KNo $10
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $543—Yes $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0KOver $1.1K——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $297——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—Yes $5