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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
esticamosFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (144–119, n=263)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$16K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #980PM monthly #22PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (181 of 255 open)69% (29 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=79, ROI −1%
  • MMA +12 pts n=21, ROI +5%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=130Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won68% of 239 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 18% of 45)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 52% of 21)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 59% of 34)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 89% of 139)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketesticamosFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $940Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35
Luanda: Wozuko Mdlulwa vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $1.7KWozuko Mdlulwa $8
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $234Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $45
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $16KPolina Kudermetova $5.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $4.3KFelix Gill $3.7K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3KNo $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $300Otto Virtanen $2.9K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.3KYes $483
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $1.2KSamuele Pieri $1.3K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100Under $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $809Robin Montgomery $322
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $137Leonid Sheyngezikht $373
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
—Vittoria Paganetti $73Vittoria Paganetti $366
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
—Eliska Tichackova $214Eliska Tichackova $109
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $112Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maria Sakkari $18Maria Sakkari $87