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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| esticamos | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (146–124, n=270) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 70% (231 of 331 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 59% (149 of 253 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=140 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 249 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 45) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 55% of 22) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 57% of 37) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 90% of 145) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
35 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | esticamos | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Over $247 |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Bucks $4.0K | — | Celtics $485 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K | — | Max Wiskandt $1.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | — | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.3K | — | No $343 |
| Spread: Celtics (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $2.2K | — | Celtics $3 |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $1.3K | — | Bucks $765 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | — | Under $1.7K |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $849 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $1.6K | — | Bucks $57 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $23 |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.4K | — | Knicks $158 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $4 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $23 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $138 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Senators $66 | — | Sabres $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $12 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $988 | — | Bulls $47 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $751 | — | Under $8 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $670 | — | Under $87 |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $78 | — | Over $535 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $555 | — | Bulls $16 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $330 | — | Over $235 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $506 | — | Over $46 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $327 | — | Pacers $180 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $200 | — | Thunder $270 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $362 | — | Under $106 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $429 | — | Over $6 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $302 | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $280 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $380 | — | Yes $26 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $314 | — | Pistons $49 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Nuggets $182 | — | Raptors $130 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8 | — | Over $278 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $28 | — | Kings $250 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $43 | — | Under $169 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $128 | — | Over $85 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $100 | — | Over $2 |
| Spread: Pistons (-21.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $32 | — | Pistons $63 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $32 | — | Under $14 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $215 | — | Sacramento State $8.3K |
| Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera same side · consensus Julia Riera | — | Julia Grabher $5.2K | — | Julia Grabher $2.0K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.4K | — | 76ers $370 |