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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklBreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)56% (61–47, n=108)55% (23–19, n=42)52% (591–550, n=1141)
Consensus PnL$26K$770K$881K$385K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #1PM monthly #19PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)no open consensus position66% (96 of 146 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—0%4% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)30% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklBreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1M—Packers $17K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $945K—Saints $22K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $142K—49ers $25K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $164K—Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $161K—Jaguars $8
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $102K—Jaguars $2.3K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $78K—Falcons $1.9K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $37K—Jaguars $34K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $6.8K—76ers $44K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $32K—Falcons $3.5K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $13K—Dolphins $6
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $2.8K—Packers $2.4K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $398—Dolphins $2.9K
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $742—Packers $1.8K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $1.1M—Chiefs $13K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $271K—Vikings $16K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $91K—Colts $2.8K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $38K—Cowboys $2.3K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $12K—Vikings $9.3K