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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1Tan4321
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus65% (196 of 300 open)67% (20 of 30 open)60% (135 of 225 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

64 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1Tan4321
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $5.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.1K—Yes $4.8K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $587—
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.2K—Over $69—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.9KUMass $831—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $3.4KCentral Michigan $18—
Spread: Ball State (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $2.8KBall State $281—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KUnder $3—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $196—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $842—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $11—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $811Over $410—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $977—No $5—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713—Over $268—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $811—Over $130—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $557—Over $10—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $277—Pacers $139—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $236—Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $237—Wizards $98—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27—Kings $253—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $198Sacramento State $62—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $236—Under $4—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123—Over $86—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Juan Carlos Prado $834—Juan Carlos Prado $15K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $2.6K—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.0K—Under $181—
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.1KBall State $850—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $4.6K—76ers $240—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $1.4K—Bianca Andreescu $3.2K—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $1.9K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $182—
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $1.3K—
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K—