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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #149PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus62% (219 of 355 open)74% (34 of 46 open)64% (110 of 172 open)66% (79 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

72 on the same side, 57 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7No $2.6K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3KYes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28Under $12
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $23—Over $2Under $5
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1KUnder $931
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $16K—Novak Djokovic $30K—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $315——No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $3.9K—Karen Khachanov $3.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.8K—Olympiakós SFP $32—
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.9K—Over $14—
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.5K—
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420——Under $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $860—Under $1—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495——Yes $192
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $237—Hawks $408—
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $509Under $76
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $23——Yes $273
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $227—Yes $63—
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
Anna Siskova $229—Marie Weckerle $55—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $146—No $132—
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
——Al Ahli Saudi Club $8Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $148Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78——No $129
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $161