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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | mostlywrong | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) | 62% (55–34, n=89) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) | 50% (20610–20397, n=41007) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $27K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #713 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (187 of 277 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 55% (48 of 87 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.2K | — | Under $129 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | — | Under $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $870 | — | Yes $71 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $750 | Yes $74 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $543 | — | Over $147 | — |
| Austin Peay Governors vs. Kennesaw State Owls opposite sides · consensus Austin Peay Governors | Kennesaw State Owls $427 | — | Austin Peay Governors $39 | — |
| Spread: UIC Flames (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Robert Morris Colonials | Robert Morris Colonials $373 | — | UIC Flames $93 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams | Idaho Vandals $131 | — | Colorado State Rams $105 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Spread: Spurs (-33.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Spurs $185 | — | Kings $15 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $137 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6 | — | Pelicans $39 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $9.3K | — | No $9.0K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $489 | — | — | No $15K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $2.7K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K | — |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3.0K | — | Under $6.0K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $319 | — | — | Under $718 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Kings $898 | — | Kings $133 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $638 | — | Over $216 | — |
| Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $214 | — | No $630 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $269 | — | Under $439 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Kings $597 | — | Kings $105 | — |
| North Dakota State Bison vs. San Francisco Dons same side · consensus San Francisco Dons | San Francisco Dons $585 | — | San Francisco Dons $10 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $289 | — | Under $238 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $87 | — | Over $234 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $131 | — | Under $169 | — |
| St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 148.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | — | Under $41 | — |