Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06?
Resolved Yes. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Yes 45%
3 arb excluded
$48.0K
$-12.7K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 34 top traders (47%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed18 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 oieshfn345 | Yesavg 60.9¢ | $12.7K | $19.2K | +$6.5K | 57% 2106-1559 (3665) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 59.1¢ | $9.2K | $11.3K | +$2.0K | 50% 28862-28672 (57534) |
 nigiri99 | Yesavg 31.7¢ | $2.8K | $8.9K | +$1.3K | 46% 8745-10440 (19185) |
 RN1CTR | Noavg 48.6¢ | $14.2K | — | $-14.2K | 53% 62226-54444 (116670) |
SN SnakeBall | Yesavg 62.1¢ | $1.5K | $2.2K | +$661.08 | 51% 38171-37411 (75582) |
PT PT-S7 | Yesavg 57.2¢ | $2.4K | $1.9K | +$691.92 | 49% 3270-3446 (6716) |
 alpheclabs2 | Yesavg 59.1¢ | $978.68 | $1.7K | +$681.96 | 47% 1344-1523 (2867) |
 dips. | Yesavg 55.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$589.14 | 47% 10970-12572 (23542) |
VE VenusianCTR | Noavg 44.3¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 49% 1790-1872 (3662) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Yesavg 63.2¢ | $443.24 | $701.58 | +$258.34 | 50% 21519-21799 (43318) |
GA Gaditima | Yesavg 56¢ | $269.84 | $481.86 | +$212.02 | 47% 7493-8302 (15795) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Noavg 56.6¢ | $601.26 | — | -$609.75 | 49% 14964-15854 (30818) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Noavg 46.2¢ | $4.3K | $52.17 | $-4.2K | 50% 1808-1796 (3604) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 46.2¢ | $4.2K | — | $-4.2K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 96.8¢ | $50.53 | $52.17 | +$1.64 | |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Noavg 41.1¢ | $2.9K | $44.99 | $-2.9K | 48% 1730-1861 (3591) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 41.1¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.9K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 99¢ | $44.52 | $44.99 | +$0.47 | |
WA WagerWizard | Yesavg 72.8¢ | $76.41 | $105 | +$28.59 | 84% 15044-2924 (17968) |
LI LightParadoxARB<$100 | Noavg 43.5¢ | $1.2K | $51.75 | $-1.1K | 49% 1756-1850 (3606) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 85¢ | $43.97 | $51.75 | +$7.77 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 43.5¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR | Noavg 48.6¢ | $225.16 | — | -$225.16 | 52% 14641-13306 (27947) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Yesavg 58¢ | $41.95 | $50 | +$8.05 | 53% 24138-21186 (45324) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 69.9¢ | $2.6K | — | $-2.6K | 51% 26991-25572 (52563) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 56.4¢ | $44.35 | $49 | +$4.65 | 47% 9510-10646 (20156) |
NM NM-PCTR | Noavg 69.2¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 10163-5703 (15866) |
GC GC-PCTR | Noavg 69.2¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 10165-5759 (15924) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 69.1¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 58% 47408-34193 (81601) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Yesavg 82.3¢ | $21.64 | $24.49 | +$2.85 | 66% 24430-12486 (36916) |
SE sentrioCTR | Noavg 67.3¢ | $714.57 | — | -$714.57 | 50% 26346-25970 (52316) |
oieshfn345Invested
$12,715.12
Value
$19.2K
PnL
+$6.5K
Record
57%
2106-1559 (3665)
Invested
$9,228.03
Value
$11.3K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
50%
28862-28672 (57534)
nigiri99Invested
$2,819.14
Value
$8.9K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
46%
8745-10440 (19185)
RN1CTRInvested
$14,248.63
Value
—
PnL
$-14.2K
Record
53%
62226-54444 (116670)
Invested
$1,485.61
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$661.08
Record
51%
38171-37411 (75582)
Invested
$2,359.67
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$691.92
Record
49%
3270-3446 (6716)
alpheclabs2Invested
$978.68
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$681.96
Record
47%
1344-1523 (2867)
dips.Invested
$1,191.19
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$589.14
Record
47%
10970-12572 (23542)
Invested
$1,410.09
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
49%
1790-1872 (3662)
Invested
$443.24
Value
$701.58
PnL
+$258.34
Record
50%
21519-21799 (43318)
Invested
$269.84
Value
$481.86
PnL
+$212.02
Record
47%
7493-8302 (15795)
Invested
$601.26
Value
—
PnL
-$609.75
Record
49%
14964-15854 (30818)
Invested
$4,289.94
Value
$52.17
PnL
$-4.2K
Record
50%
1808-1796 (3604)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,900.42
Value
$44.99
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
48%
1730-1861 (3591)
Both legs:
Invested
$76.41
Value
$105
PnL
+$28.59
Record
84%
15044-2924 (17968)
Invested
$1,170.87
Value
$51.75
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
49%
1756-1850 (3606)
Both legs:
Invested
$225.16
Value
—
PnL
-$225.16
Record
52%
14641-13306 (27947)
Invested
$41.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.05
Record
53%
24138-21186 (45324)
Invested
$2,567.13
Value
—
PnL
$-2.6K
Record
51%
26991-25572 (52563)
Invested
$44.35
Value
$49
PnL
+$4.65
Record
47%
9510-10646 (20156)
Invested
$1,395.38
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
10163-5703 (15866)
Invested
$1,385.13
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
10165-5759 (15924)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,417
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
58%
47408-34193 (81601)
Invested
$21.64
Value
$24.49
PnL
+$2.85
Record
66%
24430-12486 (36916)
Invested
$714.57
Value
—
PnL
-$714.57
Record
50%
26346-25970 (52316)