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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)71% (2092–854, n=2946)48% (503–539, n=1042)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$387K$462K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #21PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus52% (142 of 275 open)59% (19 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $3.3KNorway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $15K—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $926Under $4.9K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.4KDenmark $4.0K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $489Kentucky $916—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
Alex Marti Pujolras $1.1KRaffaele Ciurnelli $27—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356Miami (FL) $145—
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $71Yes $70—
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $100BakS eSports $31—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $4.0KTaylor Fritz $41K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
FURIA $67FURIA $9.4K—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $219No $71—
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
Juan Estevez $158Juan Estevez $125—
Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $126Under $18—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Lumbini Lions $19Lumbini Lions $25—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $2Royal Desert Champions $1—