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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)71% (2092–854, n=2946)48% (503–539, n=1042)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$670K$387K$462K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #13PM monthly #21PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)51% (144 of 280 open)61% (20 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)—
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $9.2KFURIA $67FURIA $10K—
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $3.3KNorway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3KUnder $15K—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $926Under $4.9K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.4KDenmark $4.0K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $489Kentucky $916—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
—Alex Marti Pujolras $1.0KRaffaele Ciurnelli $23—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $145—
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
—Virtus.pro $100BakS eSports $31—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $7.0KTaylor Fritz $72K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $241—Team Falcons $2.5K—
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $700No $52—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $219No $71—
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
—Juan Estevez $158Juan Estevez $125—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
—Lumbini Lions $19Lumbini Lions $25—
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $14—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
—Royal Desert Champions $2Royal Desert Champions $1—