Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMD14nigiri99paintscrel
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)81% (22–5, n=27)55% (433–356, n=789)0% (0–3, n=3)
Consensus PnL$501K$328K$365K-$4.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #118PM monthly #137was PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensus47% (82 of 174 open)no open consensus position56% (104 of 186 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMD14nigiri99paintscrel
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $310—Nets $21K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $1.5K—Nets $18K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32—Yes $7.3K—
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $4.5K—
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $98—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $1.7K—Mavericks $145—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $94—Timberwolves $545—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Providence Friars $125—Colorado Buffaloes $492—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2—Nets $579—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $121—Jets $8—
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
Florida $3.2K—Florida $7.3K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $431—Heat $9.8K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $637—Arkansas $12—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $374—Texas Tech $177—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
1win $10—1win $107—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3—Yes $34—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Blackhawks
Jets $1—Jets $8—