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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $151K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (173 of 244 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 61% (35 of 57 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $34 | — | Under $919 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova opposite sides · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | Anastasia Tikhonova $603 | — | Valeriya Strakhova $229 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens | Sloane Stephens $395 | — | Luciana Perry $319 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $387 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Jana Hossam Salah vs Briana Szabo opposite sides · consensus Briana Szabo | Briana Szabo $3 | — | Jana Hossam Salah $194 | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $40K | — | No $27K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | — | No $19K | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | — | No $15K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | — | Under $8.8K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | Filip Misolic $3.8K | — | Filip Misolic $8.4K | — |
| Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $5.9K | — | No $3.4K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $2.6K | — | No $3.9K | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $2.8K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | Over $1.9K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Celtic FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $453 | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $837 | — | No $474 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $337 | — | — | Under $755 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $589 | — | No $109 | — |