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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ezmoneyfornowkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)50% (15–15, n=30)46% (387–447, n=834)54% (312–261, n=573)
Consensus PnL$20K$509K$425K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #952PM monthly #19PM monthly #135
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (26 of 52 open)50% (54 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won89% of 18 at avg 44¢, ROI +36%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 17)14% (won 32% of 72)
Entries 30–50¢78% (won 93% of 14)38% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 55% of 121)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 75% of 4)49% (won 100% of 137)44% (won 69% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 21)18% (won 98% of 89)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEzmoneyfornowkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Pacers $20KKnicks $486
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.4KGrizzlies $10K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bulls $13KHawks $3.0K
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.3K
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $674
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Greece
—Greece $9.1KNetherlands $17
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $367Under $5.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.4KGrizzlies $966
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $585
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $482
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $1.2KHouston $75
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $397Pacers $21
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $151
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Canucks $11KCanucks $508
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.4KOver $1.9K
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.6KOver $226
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.8KOver $308
Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.1KOver $28
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $520
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $58