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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1NM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)82% (5445–1162, n=6607)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$4.8M$48K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #511PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)73% (53 of 73 open)73% (130 of 179 open)60% (70 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)19% (won 39% of 267)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)23% (won 58% of 326)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1NM-PRN1
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $106No $4.3K
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $74Over $254
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $191Under $124
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $110Yes $116
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $169Under $2
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337K——
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.1KYes $10K
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KYes $9.0K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.7KNo $3.7K
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $261No $4.1K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $492No $3.3K
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $349No $1.5K
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $195No $1.6K
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $278No $904
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $766No $221
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $248Hornets $341
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $332Kings $238
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $104Over $235
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $182Over $153
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $193Yes $31
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $168Over $7
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $16Yes $50