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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.8M | $52K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 67% (115 of 172 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.