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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ojgRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)56% (741–582, n=1323)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$62K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #998PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (35 of 40 open)63% (31 of 49 open)100% (4 of 4 open)57% (35 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ojgRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $70KTexans $4.3KTexans $8.5K
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Packers $104KPatriots $13KPackers $2.5KPackers $4.0K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $80KSeahawks $713Seahawks $3.9K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K—Packers $489
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $7.9K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Timberwolves $11K—Jazz $119
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $8.7K—Cardinals $1.3K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.4K—Over $126
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——49ers $4.8KRaiders $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Under $116
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $8—Chargers $365
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $31K—Coco Gauff $36K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $18K—Heat $136
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $1.5K—Seahawks $3.9K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $137—Seahawks $4.1K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $31——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $943—Nets $146
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $642—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224