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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)39% (243–373, n=616)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M-$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #838
Sides with the consensus85% (44 of 52 open)63% (55 of 88 open)72% (113 of 158 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −9 pts, n=99
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)30% (won 14% of 164)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 42% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 59% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)7% (won 71% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $11K76ers $1.0K—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294KTexans $41K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.5K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $137KPatriots $10K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $119KCowboys $26K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $104KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $329——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $863—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28KOver $390—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $12K——
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $3.2KChiefs $5.5K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.6KUnder $385—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $145Over $3.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3.4KThiago Seyboth Wild $360—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $287—76ers $724—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $295K—No $121K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $30K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $10K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0K—Bulls $704—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $2.4KChargers $5——
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Schalke 04
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $745TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $970—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $297—