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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)50% (3688–3676, n=7364)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M-$581K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)66% (131 of 199 open)61% (27 of 44 open)83% (10 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—MLB −6 pts, n=119
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%52% of 4813 at avg 49¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)13% (won 23% of 628)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)44% (won 46% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)29% (won 60% of 1403)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)14% (won 81% of 654)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—TheMongolz $2—MOUZ $178K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $4.0KNikoloz Basilashvili $623—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $8.1KAnna Blinkova $51K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $43KNo $211—
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $31KSunderland AFC $4.6K—
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $1.9KLorenzo Sonego $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.1KNo $7.1K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $13KNo $842—
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
—No $471No $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—