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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)95% (13678–685, n=14363)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #26 + pinnedPM monthly #960
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (179 of 257 open)62% (26 of 42 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1WagerWizard
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $277No $495Yes $5
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $40Over $40
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $541No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $496Over $12
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $61Yes $70
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $30KClaire Liu $18K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.3K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $4.7KYosuke Watanuki $2.3K—
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $1.2K—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.5KUnder $43—
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $934No $1.4K—
Will Nantong Zhiyun win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $80
Will Changchun Yatai win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $827No $1.2K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Will Wuxi Wugou vs. Changchun Yatai end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $636No $1.1K—
Will Nanjing City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $376—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104Under $1.1K—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $505Under $418—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $187Under $108—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—