Consensus PnL $93K · win rate 96% (13200–564, n=13764) · PM monthly #825 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$93.2K
Record
13200W / 564L
Win Rate
96.0%
of 13764 settled
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#144
Source
PM monthly #825
Record (90 d)
5070/5289 · 96%
Trades
0
Markets
16,889
Volume
$1.8M
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 4 on the consensus side (25%)- CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over $257 · now 75¢ · in at 91¢against the consensus (Under)
- CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over $128 · now 76¢ · in at 88¢against the consensus (Under)
- FC Imabari vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 2.5Over $98 · now 100¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (43% of 7)
- Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?Yes $11 · now 3¢ · in at 88¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
6,775 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 82¢- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 98% of 6775 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 73% of 240)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 91% of 624)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 97% of 755)
- 70¢ and up: 76%(won 100% of 5156)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.