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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)61% (176–114, n=290)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$107K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #256PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)71% (273 of 387 open)55% (11 of 20 open)57% (84 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%86% of 201 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 64% of 14)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)18% (won 81% of 36)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 85% of 98)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)26% (won 96% of 53)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

67 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichRN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.4K—Yes $66
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $162Yes $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $661—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $319Yes $4.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Brute
——Brute $1GenOne $3.8K
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3K—No $257
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2K—Over $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K—Lavinia Tanasie $5
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $1.3K—Renata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $327—No $585
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $742—Yes $133
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $48
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $682—Yes $42
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $508—Yes $125
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11—Over $502
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $232—Under $151
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23—Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $26—Sofia Johnson $213
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $178—Over $7
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $63—Under $29
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $63—Under $4
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $27—Over $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13—Yes $4
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11—Yes $4
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31K—Under $2.0K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $1.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.4K—Yes $19K
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $15K—Under $4.2K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.0K—Under $8.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1K—No $8.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $439
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $13K—AS Omónoia Leukosías $3
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $315
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $10K—Under $128
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8K—No $1.2K
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.0K—No $626
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $6.3K—Ferencvárosi TC $1.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $2.4K