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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $529K | $400K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 67% (67 of 100 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $8.4K | Cowboys $275 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.7K | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $7.0K | Lions $34K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $3.3K | Saints $26K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $11K | Lions $17K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Titans $8.2K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $165 | — | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | Under $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $75 | Mavericks $200 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $620 | Seahawks $20K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $7.9K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $159 | Mavericks $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $213 | Suns $4.5K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $170 | Pacers $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | — | — | Lions $32 | Lions $4.0K |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Rockets $356 | Rockets $2.4K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5) same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes | — | Creighton Bluejays $97 | Creighton Bluejays $300 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $182 | Spurs $182 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | Under $246 | — |