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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Baby-CypyaBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #970PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (32 of 36 open)65% (134 of 205 open)72% (34 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaby-CypyaBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
——Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
——Anna Blinkova $5.2KSofya Lansere $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $747Yes $57
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $70KNo $17K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
——Lorenzo Sonego $1.6KLorenzo Sonego $18K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $10KNo $7.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $10KNo $4.8K
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $11KNo $1.8K
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.0K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.5KUnder $44
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.3KUnder $505
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KUnder $25
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $911No $1.7K
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $331
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $184
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29
Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $67Yes $7