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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (238–188, n=426) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 68% (219 of 323 open) | 61% (138 of 225 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
51 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | Central Michigan $12K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $9.7K | Over $462 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.6K | Cavaliers $523 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $1.5K | Hawks $690 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | Yes $9 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | No $124 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $159 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $1.3K | Wizards $73 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Over $100 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | Over $10 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $982 | Bulls $64 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $662 | Under $140 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $750 | Under $12 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $310 | Over $255 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $543 | Bulls $11 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $467 | Over $73 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $452 | Over $44 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $331 | Pacers $155 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $252 | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $61 | Thunder $308 |
| Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $207 | Yes $124 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $211 | Over $90 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $123 | Over $86 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Trail Blazers $22 | Suns $155 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $98 | Over $2 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $52 | Hornets $35 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K | Juan Carlos Prado $16K |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14K | Yes $3.0K |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.3K | Under $4.8K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $167 | Sacramento State $7.4K |
| Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | No $498 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.2K | 76ers $240 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $4.1K | No $594 |
| Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.7K | Yes $882 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $1.7K |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $1.4K | Hawks $957 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $873 | Over $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | UMass $386 | — | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | — | CA Mineiro $1.4K | CA Mineiro $85 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $688 | Under $754 |
| Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $682 | No $742 |